Skip to content
All Articles

Industry Analysis

The Space Force's Refueling Paradox: Mandate Without Money

February 2026|2 min read|Alaan Franklin
STS-125 crew captures the Hubble Space Telescope after the final on-orbit servicing mission, May 2009. NASA, public domain.

The Space Force zeroed out its refueling budget in the same fiscal year it mandated refueling for its most important new constellation. That is not a typo. In FY2026, the Space Force requested zero new dollars for Space Access, Mobility, and Logistics, the line item that funds in-orbit servicing and refueling development. The Trump administration restored $14.5 million before sending the request to Congress. The year before, the ask was $20 million. Aidan Poling at the Mitchell Institute argues the number should be $200 million annually. We are off by an order of magnitude.

Now look at what the same institution spent through other doors. $144.5 million to Starfish Space across three contracts in six months. $70 million to Northrop Grumman for the Elixir refueling demonstration. $61 million to Astroscale for the first refueling of a military satellite. $13.3 million to Orbit Fab for a GEO fuel depot. $44.5 million for refueling target spacecraft.

Since 2022, disclosed government contracts for on-orbit servicing and refueling exceed $358 million. The official SAML budget over that same period totals roughly $65 million. Eighty-two percent of the investment is invisible in the line item everyone watches. The money is real, but not where you would expect. It lives in STRATFI agreements, APFIT awards, DIU prototype OTAs, and Space Enterprise Consortium contracts. These alternative pathways move faster and reach companies that traditional procurement cannot. That is their strength. It also speaks to financial pipeline fragility.

SBIR/STTR authority expired on September 30, 2025. It has not been reauthorized. STRATFI, the mechanism that funded Starfish Space's first Otter, is frozen. No new awards can be issued. Maj. Gen. Purdy called the lapse 'very concerning.' The pipeline that gives innovative servicing companies their earliest government dollars has been shut off for five months. Not because anyone opposed it. Because it was a secondary priority in a congressional standoff over small business research terms.

Japan committed $73 million to a single refueling demonstration, five times the entire US SAML budget for FY2026. The White House National Space Council warned that 'real funding' is needed to send a credible signal to investors, industry, and international partners. A zeroed-out budget line does the opposite. The Space Force's total budget this year is $40 billion. SAML is 0.04 percent of that. The service declared in-orbit mobility a core mission in 2020. The math does not support the words.

Alternative acquisition moves fast. It also stops fast. A program of record has congressional district jobs, prime contractor advocacy, and a budget line that lawmakers defend. A collection of STRATFI awards and OTAs has none of that. The SBIR lapse proved the disconnect between GovCon and Gov.

Written by

AF

Alaan Franklin